TURKS ARE TROUBLED BY PROBABLE NEXT SPEAKER'S PLEDGE ON
GENOCIDE BILL
01-11-2006 16:40:00 | USA | Articles and Analyses
By Harut Sassounian
Publisher, The California Courier
Just when Turkish officials are grappling with the
devastating blow of the French Parliament's adoption of a bill
criminalizing the denial of the Armenian Genocide, it appears
likely that they will be receiving a second blow shortly from
the U.S. Congress.
The U.S. House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), who is
expected to be the next Speaker of the House, should Democrats
win the majority in the House, issued an exclusive statement to
this writer last week pledging to support the passage of the
Armenian Genocide resolution in the next Congress.
She said: "I have supported legislation, including
H.Res.316, that would properly acknowledge the Armenian
Genocide. It is imperative that the United States recognize this
atrocity and move to renew our commitment to eliminate genocide
whenever and wherever it exists. This effort enjoys strong
bipartisan support in the House, and I will continue to support
these efforts in the 110th Congress."
If the Democrats control the House after the November 7
elections, Cong. Pelosi is slated to become House Speaker. As
such, she would control which bills come to the floor for a
vote. Based on her 20-year record of staunch support for the
recognition of the Armenian Genocide by the House of
Representatives, there is a high probability that the Armenian
Genocide resolution would finally get scheduled for a vote in
the House.
In contrast, the current Speaker, Dennis Hastert (R-IL),
has repeatedly blocked this resolution from coming to the floor
since October 2000. In July of 2004, following the adoption by
the House of an amendment recognizing the Armenian Genocide,
Speaker Hastert issued a blunt statement vowing to block any
future consideration of the Armenian Genocide Resolution by the
full House. For his denialist efforts, Speaker Hastert has
received an "F" rating from the ANCA, while Cong. Pelosi has
consistently received an "A."
Two weeks before Cong. Pelosi made her pledge to the
Armenian American community, the Turkish Daily News had already
published an article headlined: "A Democratic victory in the US
congressional elections next month will mean more 'Armenian
Genocide' trouble for Ankara."
The Turkish article stated: "A Democratic triumph in the
House, or the Senate, will mean major problems for Turkey in its
efforts to stop genocide recognition. In the outgoing House, the
International Relations Committee in September 2005 approved a
resolution for genocide recognition, But House Speaker Dennis
Hastert, a close Bush ally, has never allowed a full floor vote.
But if the Democrats win in November, it will be Nancy Pelosi, a
staunch supporter of Armenian causes, who most probably will
become the new speaker. In the event of a Democratic victory in
the House, pro-Armenian lawmakers will definitely force a new
legislation for genocide recognition shortly after the new
Congress takes office in January.
"Tom Lantos, presently the ranking Democratic member on the
House International Relations Committee, is most likely to lead
the committee. His position is not predictable. Lantos, a
Holocaust survivor, backed Turkey in 2000 but voted for the
Armenian side last year, voicing deep disappointment over what
he saw as anti-American Turkish policies in the Middle East. In
any case, a strongly supported genocide recognition resolution
would easily pass the International Relations Committee hurdles,
and reach the full House controlled by the pro-Armenian Pelosi,
who in turn normally would be expected to favor a quick floor
vote. Analysts warn that Turkey is doomed to lose any vote on
any platform, so the key would be to avoid voting. Would Bush,
like Clinton did in 2000, intervene personally at the last
minute again to avoid a floor vote? Or would the Democrats who
hate Bush turn it into a major domestic policy showdown? The
answers are not clear at this point. The only certain thing is
that Turkey will have a major headache on Armenian-related
matters in the event of a Democratic victory in Congress," the
Turkish Daily News wrote.
After Cong. Pelosi's pledge, the Turkish Daily News
published a second article on Oct. 29, headlined: "Turkey's
'Democratic' woes: Ankara fears fallout from likely Democratic
victory in U.S. congressional elections on genocide." The
newspaper quoted an anonymous Turkish diplomat in Washington
(probably the Turkish Ambassador in Washington), as saying: "I
would never think that I would be wishing a Republican win in
the November 7 congressional elections, but it's ironic to see
that a Democratic victory likely will be even worse for Turkey."
The Turkish reporter then wrote that after his earlier report of
two weeks ago, Cong. Pelosi made a pledge on the Armenian
Genocide resolution to "a prominent U.S. Armenian publisher"
(yours truly). This confirmed the Turkish reporter's worst fears
about the likely passage of the Armenian Genocide resolution in
the next Congress.
Another major Turkish publication, Hurriyet, featured a
lengthy analytical article on the same subject on Oct. 27,
stating that the election of a Democratic majority in the House
on Nov. 7, would likely create new storms in U.S.-Turkish
relations due to the Armenian issue. Hurriyet also referred to
the statement released by Cong. Pelosi to this writer, as
evidence that things would be much different (meaning worse) in
the next Congress for Turkey.
Several other Turkish newspapers and websites also referred
to Cong. Pelosi's statement with ominous predictions for Turkey.
The Fresno Bee published a more skeptical analysis. Referring to
Cong. Pelosi's statement to this writer. The Bee wrote:
"Armenian Americans are accustomed to hearing election-year
promises. Now they have another one to mull over." The article
concluded by raising the prospect that Cong. Pelosi "may be more
willing than Hastert to embarrass the White House on this
issue."
Let us hope that the Democrats would win the majority in
the House on Nov. 7, thus realizing the Turks' worst nightmare!
Nothing would be more satisfying to most Armenian Americans than
seeing Hastert lose his "speakership" and become once again the
lowly Congressman that he used be. He would no longer be able to
play sleazy political games with the sacred memory of genocide
victims.