Tatul Manaserian: Hyperappreciation of dram hinders
development of production in Armenia
26-01-2009 21:00:00 | Armenia | Economy
YEREVAN, JANUARY 26, NOYAN TAPAN. With the aim of reducing
the negative balance of Armenia's foreign trade, it is necessary
to develop domestic production, to which, however, the current
hyperappreciation of the Armenian dram is not conducive, the
economist Tatul Manaserian stated at the January 26 press
conference. "In the past 2-3 months the Armenian dram has been
the currency that has appreciated most of all in the world,
whereas the Russian ruble, the euro and the US dollar are at the
stage of depreciation," he underlined, adding that by his
calculations, the dram has appreciated by 27-30% as compared
with the indicated currencies.
In the words of T. Manaserian, the dram's appreciation is
the reason why the foreign trade balance has been disturbed and
domestic production rates are declining. "Thus the Armenian
goods are not attractive in terms of their prices not only
outside but also within the country. People prefer cheaper
imported goods of the same quality," he noted.
In order to overcome the current situation, according to
him, the level of appreciation of the dram should be reduced
gradually: "the economic and currency policies should be
flexible and in line with today's conditions". "The appreciation
of the national currency is a great blow to the Armenian
population's purchasing capacity, especially at the current
stage of the global economic crisis when the impact of the
crisis will soon be felt in the Armenian economy. I think this
is a serious threat to us so both the currency and economic
policies need to be revised," T. Manaserian said.
It should be mentioned that by official statistics, exports
from Armenia fell by 7.8% to 1 billion 69 million USD, while
imports grew by 35% to 4 billion 411.7 million USD in 2008 on
2007. In 2008 the average exchange rate of a US dollar made
305.97 drams (in 2007 this index made 342.08 drams).